Ball was a good shot blocker and very efficient scorer - only 29% chance he is a bust.
Lonzo Ball has a 42% chance to play like a starter and 7% chance to become an all star according to ESPN's analytic draft model. His top comparable player is Westbrook.
Fultz's most comparable players according ESPN's analytic draft model are: Jamal Murray Jrue Holiday Raymond Felton Kyrie Irving Deron Williams
Potential draftees in Chad Ford's top 10 with the highest probability of being a bust the NBA according ESPN's analytic draft projections: Zach Collins - 52% Lauri Markkanen - 47% Dennis Smith - 46% Markelle Fultz - 39% Josh Jackson - 39%
Potential draftees with the highest probability of playing at an all star level according ESPN's analytic draft projections: Frank Ntilikina - 14% De'Aaron Fox - 8% Lonzo Ball - 7% Josh Jackson - 7% Malik Monk - 7%
Top five players most likely to be NBA level players in tonight's draft according ESPN's analytic projections: Lonzo Ball - 71% Jonathan Isaac - 69% Jayson Tatum - 68% Malik Monk - 67% De'Aaron Fox - 63%
Curry created 22% WPA in the series through defensive rebounds. Only LeBron (24%) had more.
Durant earns Finals MVP with 184% win probability added. LeBron had 155% and Curry 124%.
Win probability created for the series from the 3 point line: Warriors: 85% Cavs: -2%
JR Smith is 5-5 from three pint range tonight. He shot 35% from three during the regular season.
Curry currently leads all players with 32% in WPA.
At the end of the first quarter, the Warriors were -7 in WPA from three point shooting. They are now +4%.
Top 3 in WPA at the half: Curry - 20% JR Smith - 18% Durant - 17%
With 10:12 left in the second the Warriors had a 57% chance to win. They went on a 38-19 run and now have a 93% chance to win at the half.
Cavs are -28% in WPA from turnovers, Warriors are -21%.
Curry and Durant have a total of 6 turnovers that have cost the Warriors 16% in WPA.
Warriors' 3 point shots have cost them 7% in wpa so far tonight while Cavs three point shooting has created 6% in WPA.
Top 3 players in WPA after the first quarter: Irving - 19% JR Smith - 11% Tristan Thompson- 9%
Win Probability Added after the first quarter: Warriors: FGA: 3% REB: 9% AST: 3% BLK: 2% TOV: -16% Cavs: FGA: 24% REB: 11% AST: 5% BLK: 4% TOV: -15%
In the 30 seconds since Love has come off, the Cavs's have increased their WP by just over 10%.
Top 5 in Win Probability Added this series through 4 games: 1. Durant - 1.4 2. LeBron - 1.2 3. Curry - 0.9 4. Love - 0.7 5. Irving - 0.6
The Warriors have an 85% chance according to BPI of closing out the Cavs tonight.
The Warriors shot 28.2% from 3 in game 4. During the regular season they shot worse than that 14 times. They went 5-9 in those games.
Through 4 games, total win probability added: Durant - 141% LeBron - 123% Curry - 89% Love - 72% Irving - 60%
In game 4, the Cavs three point choosing created 36% in added win probability. The Warriors had -3% in added win probability from their three point shooting.