Though the Seahawks are now 1-2, they still have a 58% chance to win the NFC West and a 64% chance to reach the postseason overall. Those numbers could shift slightly with tomorrow's FPI update.
Cam Newton posted a Total QBR of 4.4 in today's loss to the Saints. That's a career-low single-game Total QBR for him.
Following the Jets' win today, there is a new favorite to land the No.1 overall pick in next year's draft: the 49ers. Right now, San Francisco has a 32% chance of getting that pick, pending tomorrow's FPI update.
After their dramatic win over the Giants today, the Eagles -- at this moment -- have a 60% chance to win the NFC East. That percentage incorporates the result of all games so far (and win probability of games in progress) but not FPI shifts as a result of today's contests.
Joe Flacco recorded a career-worst single-game Total QBR of 0.8 against the Jaguars today. That is also the worst single-game Total QBR of the 2017 season. Andy Dalton's infamous Week 1 QBR has been adjusted up to a 1.2 -- not quite as bad as Flacco on Sunday.
Brandin Cooks' 25-yard touchdown reception (and ensuing two-point conversion) in the final minute of the Texans-Patriots game added 64% to New England's win probability, by far the biggest swing play so far today.
Blake Bortles recorded a Total QBR of 86.9 in the Jaguars' win over the Ravens today, the third-best single-game QBR of his career.
FPI is anticipating a close contest between the Chiefs and Chargers in California.
Independent of other results today, if the Jets hang on beat the Dolphins their chance of landing the first overall pick in next year's draft will drop from 38% (before kickoff) to 24%.
Marcus Cooper's fumble on the goal line ended up costing the Bears 4 points, but doubled the Steelers' chance of coming back to win from 10% to 20%.
It didn't work out for the Giants, but from a win probability perspective Ben McAdoo clearly made the correct decision to go for it on 4th-and-goal from the one-yard line near the end of the half. At the time of the choice, the Giants had a 30% chance to win if they went for it, but only a 25% chance to win if they elected to attempt a field goal. The Giants needed a 33% chance to convert for it to be worth going for it, and league average in that situation is 56.6%.
Glover Quin's second-quarter pick-six increased the Lions' chances of winning today by 20%. The Falcons still have a 65% chance to win.
The Texans' strip-sack of Tom Brady that Jadeveon Clowney returned for a touchdown was worth 18% in win probability. The Patriots currently have a 64% chance to win.
Jacoby Brissett ranked 30th in QBR heading into today, but his rushing touchdown against the Browns was exactly the type of play that can give it a boost because the Colts quarterback took the ball himself and because the score came on third down.
Deshaun Watson entered today second in the NFL in QBR. But it's hard to put too much stock in that yet -- so much of his production came on that 49-yard touchdown run in Week 2 against the Bengals.
The Eagles, Lions and Vikings have the most on the line today -- in terms of their chances to reach the postseason -- among NFC teams.
The Panthers face a potential 20% swing in their playoff chances depending on the result of their game against the Saints today. Here's where their postseason projection stands heading into the contest.
The Ravens' chance to reach the postseason dropped from 73% to 59% with today's loss, according to FPI, while the Jaguars' chances improved from 25% to 37%.
With the Ravens and Jaguars now underway in London, here's a look at today's AFC playoff leverage.
Where is USC in FPI? Well the Trojans dropped to No. 16, though their rating stayed about the same. The model has been down on USC since the preseason, and only beating Cal by 10 didn't impress FPI enough to move the Trojans up.
After beating up Vanderbilt 59-0, Alabama has not only moved up to the No. 1 spot in FPI but it also has a 2.2-point edge over No. 2 team Ohio State. Though the Buckeyes and Sooners also won yesterday, neither were as impressive as the Crimson Tide.
For fans of 0-2 teams already looking toward 2018: the Jets are the current favorites to land the No. 1 pick in next year's draft, though there are plenty of bad teams lurking behind them that have a shot.
After last night's loss to the Lions, the Giants are projected to win 6.2 games and have just a 7% chance to reach the postseason, according to FPI.
After crushing the Jaguars yesterday, the Titans are now heavy favorites to win the AFC South, according to FPI.
No one dropped more in FPI after Week 2 than the Cowboys, whose overall rating dipped a full three points. They now have a 26% chance to win the NFC East, behind the Eagles (49%).